{"id":52,"date":"2004-10-24T03:01:02","date_gmt":"2004-10-24T03:01:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ubuntucat.wordpress.com\/2004\/10\/24\/more-likely-to-die-how\/"},"modified":"2004-10-24T03:01:02","modified_gmt":"2004-10-24T03:01:02","slug":"more-likely-to-die-how","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.psychocats.net\/ubuntucat\/more-likely-to-die-how\/","title":{"rendered":"More likely to die how?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>An oft-cited statistic in answer to people&#8217;s &#8220;irrational&#8221; fears of flying is that you&#8217;re more likely to die in a car crash than a plane crash. What a load of bullshit. <\/p>\n<p> Now, I&#8217;ll still fly. If I want to go back east or to Europe or Asia, I won&#8217;t be going by boat, car, or train. I won&#8217;t imagine, though, that fears of flying are not founded. <\/p>\n<p> First of all, statistics like that assume that everyone is equally at risk, just as are statistics relating to divorce rates (50% is the most commonly agreed upon figure). It doesn&#8217;t mean you can flip a coin to decide whether your marriage will work out or not. Some people&#8217;s marriages are bound to fail (for example, spur-of-the-moment Britney Spears Vegas weddings), and some people just don&#8217;t think marriage will be any work or have unrealistic expectations about what &#8220;love&#8221; is. People are also more likely to divorce if their own parents are divorced. Just because 50% of marriages end in divorce doesn&#8217;t mean that every marriage has a 50\/50 chance of success or failure. More likely, 50% of marriages have a 90\/10 chance of success and the other half have a 10\/90 chance of success. <\/p>\n<p> Likewise, when it comes to driving and fatal accidents, most of the time good driving can help you avoid fatal accidents. It&#8217;s as simple as that. I can&#8217;t guarantee by driving well that I will avoid all accidents, but I&#8217;m less likely to be in a fatal accident that would be my fault if I&#8217;m a good driver. Sure, there&#8217;s the odd chance a drunk driver will speed at 70 MPH into my car, and I won&#8217;t be able to swerve in time, but at least it won&#8217;t be my fault. I can&#8217;t avoid the accidents that are not my fault. <\/p>\n<p> On the other hand, when you&#8217;re in a plane, you are leaving it up to chance. It doesn&#8217;t matter how much &#8220;skill&#8221; you have at being a passenger, you&#8217;re not less likely to be hijacked or to have a pilot who&#8217;s drunk or to be in a plane that had a shoddy maintenance check. It&#8217;s up to you to maintain your car, to drive it well, to try your best to avoid carjackers, but you are not in a position as a plane-rider to screen every other passenger for security or to make sure the plane is running well. <\/p>\n<p> The other problem with this statistic is that most (as the &#8220;further readings&#8221; will reaffirm) car crashes are not fatal. I&#8217;ve been in at least three or four accidents (either as a passenger or driver), none of which were my fault and none of which resulted in any injury to my person (though the cars were a bit worse for the wear). Almost all plane crashes result in fatalities, and not just a few. <\/p>\n<p> Driving has the possibility of being safer if you drive safely. Flying on a plane is playing &#8220;Russian Roulette&#8221; but with more than six barrels.  <\/p>\n<p> <b>Further Reading<\/b><br \/> Which is more dangerous&mdash;flying or driving?<\/a><br \/> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freeessays.cc\/db\/8\/asp5.shtml\" target=\"_top\">Are airplanes safe?<\/a><br \/> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cotf.edu\/ete\/modules\/volcanoes\/vrisk.html\" target=\"_top\">Risk analysis<\/a><br \/> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hyperorg.com\/blogger\/mtarchive\/002313.html\" target=\"_top\">Are plane crashes news?<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An oft-cited statistic in answer to people&#8217;s &#8220;irrational&#8221; fears of flying is that you&#8217;re more likely to die in a car crash than a plane crash. What a load of bullshit. Now, I&#8217;ll still fly. If I want to go back east or to Europe or Asia, I won&#8217;t be going by boat, car, or&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.psychocats.net\/ubuntucat\/more-likely-to-die-how\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">More likely to die how?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-life","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.psychocats.net\/ubuntucat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.psychocats.net\/ubuntucat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.psychocats.net\/ubuntucat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.psychocats.net\/ubuntucat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.psychocats.net\/ubuntucat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.psychocats.net\/ubuntucat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.psychocats.net\/ubuntucat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.psychocats.net\/ubuntucat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.psychocats.net\/ubuntucat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}